School and workplace closures have reduced the number of COVID-19 cases and substantially delayed the epidemic peak in Wuhan, China. Now – new modelling research, published in The Lancet Public Health journal, suggests that extending these physical distancing measures enforced in Wuhan until April, rather than March, would likely delay a second wave of cases until later in the year. A staggered return to work at the beginning of April could reduce the median number of new infections by 24% up to the end of 2020, and delay a second peak until October —relieving pressure on the health services in the intervening months.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpub/article/PIIS2468-2667(20)30073-6/fulltext